What to know for fantasy: Barkley has more than 20 carries or a rushing TD in all four games this season and leads the league in percentage of team offense accounted for (40.4%). Predicting NFL Week 5 upset picks, fantasy football sleepers and flops Pickett was picked off three times while playing in the second half last week vs. the Jets, and his ability to make good decisions on the road will go a long way against a defense tied for the league lead in interceptions (seven). Betting nugget: Atlanta has failed to cover 13 straight games against AFC opponents (1-12 outright). It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. Dickerson's pick: Bears 19, Raiders 6 Game of Midweek: Colts at Broncos (-3.5, 44 o/u) . Allgeier and Caleb Huntley will handle the majority of the work with Patterson (knee) on injured reserve, and the two young backs will alternate to cause problems for the Buccaneers. The Jaguars were leading the NFL in rush defense until giving up 210 yards and four rushing touchdowns in a loss at Philadelphia last weekend. Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information research provides a stat to know for each game, and the Football Power Index (FPI) goes inside the numbers with a matchup rating (on a scale of 1 to 100) and a game projection. Moody's pick: Chargers 27, Browns 20 Betting nugget: Minnesota is 22-10-1 ATS after a loss under Mike Zimmer. The Vikings' passing game has been bad (169.0 yards per game), prompting receiver Adam Thielen to express his frustrations and, in turn, Cousins to apologize. The Bucs also gave up an uncharacteristic 189 rushing yards in their 41-31 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week -- the most they've surrendered since 2018. Chalk home | NFL home | CFB home, Bold prediction: The Cardinals' passing game will finally lead them to a win. No 49ers player has done that in three straight games since Billy Kilmer in 1961. -- DJ Bien-Aime. Bosa dominated Carolina in 2019 with three sacks and an interception. Victor Cruz contends that Gardner Minshew is better equipped to lead his team to victory in the matchup with Panthers QB Kyle Allen. Betting nugget: Atlanta is 4-0 ATS this season, all as an underdog. -- Rob Demovsky. The Chiefs are averaging 5.2 yards per rush this season with McCoy on the field, compared to 3.3 with him off the field. What to know for fantasy: Najee Harris averaged over 4.0 yards per carry for the first time this season last week, but he failed to record a reception in Pickett's NFL debut. Last year alone, Mahomes threw seven touchdowns with no interceptions in two games as the Chiefs scored a combined 89 points. -- Rob Demovsky, Bold prediction: Aaron Rodgers throws for 300-plus yards and at least three touchdowns. That would help against a Lions offensive line featuring three solid first-round picks in left tackle Taylor Decker (2016), center Frank Ragnow (2018) and right tackle Penei Sewell (2021). The Vikings are banged up on offense but probably still good enough to squeak out a close victory. So this is a game the Chargers normally would lose, which is why Im picking them to win -- along with the fact that I believe the Giants will have trouble stopping the Bolts talented pass-rushing duo of Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. Herm Edwards and Tedy Bruschi discuss the outcome of what could be a high-scoring game in Dallas. The Rams took their first loss, and the. What to know for fantasy: Receiver Sammy Watkins scored 46.8 points in Week 1, but that is 18.1 more fantasy points than he has scored in the three weeks since. -- John Keim, Bold prediction: New England running back James White will score two touchdowns, with his playing time rising because he's a top pass protector and the Redskins are a heavy blitz team. However, Arizona's primary hope for winning this game lies with its run defense. What's more, it's Mayfield at quarterback for the Panthers this time, the same signal-caller Bosa made a point of terrorizing in 2019 with two sacks, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery. Jump to a matchup: He is seeing the most targets per route run (32.4%) among wide receivers this season. Theres a ton of excitement in Chicago about Trubisky -- and rightfully so. Walder's pick: 49ers 23, Panthers 14 Spread: KC -7.0 (51), What to watch for: The Raiders might need to score a big number in order to win. It prompted Packers coach Matt LaFleur to say this week that defensive coordinator Joe Barry needs to have his players "play more physical" and "in certain situations you might have to put an extra defender in the box." Reiss' pick: Patriots 30, Redskins 6 If Sam Bradford makes it through three days of practice this week and is ready to play, he will start in Chicago. FPI prediction: KC, 80.9% (by an average of 12.0 points), Matchup must-reads: Mahomes, Favre and other NFL stars reveal the larger-than-life tales behind Andy Reid Colts GM Chris Ballard has needed his no-flinch, no-panic approach Chiefs RB Williams has waited behind big-name backs before Ebron 'disgusted' by drops, takes blame for Colts' loss, Monday, 8:15 p.m. But since 2017, his 29% completion rate ranks 38th out of 43 passers with at least 50 such attempts. Walder's pick: Seahawks 19, Saints 16 2023 NFL Draft Index - University of Texas Athletics Projecting the Giant's first-round pick, Moody's pick: Saints 27, Seahawks 24 Stat to know: The Patriots are looking to become the first team since the 1988 Browns and Dolphins to allow zero passing touchdowns in the first five games of the season. Things are lined up -- on paper at least -- for the 49ers to get their first victory of the season. -- David Newton, Bold prediction: McCaffrey surpasses 100 yards rushing and receiving. See Week 5 rankings. Here's how Week 5 is shaping up as we continue through the 2021 season CBSSports.com . NFL best bets and picks for Week 5: Take the 49ers and the points, and the Jets-Falcons over. He will etch his name in the record books, joining Jim Brown in 1958 as the second player in league history to score multiple touchdowns in four of the team's first five games. Levis opens up about draft day FPI prediction: ARI, 56.4% (by an average of 1.8 points), Matchup must-reads: Miles Sanders' emergence makes the Eagles so much better Defense keeps Cardinals afloat while offense figures it out, What to watch for: Matthew Stafford has been sacked 16 times this season, which is tied for the second most in the NFL. No, Williams isn't the greatest running back of all time -- or possibly even the best overall on his team -- but he has proven to be consistent and durable behind a strong offensive line. Dolphins 19, Titans 17 -- Cameron Wolfe, The Dolphins allowed 235 rushing yards in last year's loss to the Titans. But the key in this one will be the ability of the Carolina defense to make the Lions one-dimensional and force Matthew Stafford to beat them. Matchup rating: 56.9 | Spread: SF -3.5 (46.5), What to watch for: The 49ers are missing left tackle Joe Staley and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon, both of whom play positions opposite Cleveland's best players in defensive end Myles Garrett (and DE/LB Olivier Vernon, depending on alignment) and receiver Odell Beckham Jr. With backups in the lineup, can the Niners neutralize two of Cleveland's biggest stars? Not super bold, but scoring even just a little over 30 points will be enough for the Chiefs to win. The Bolts are averaging an NFL-low 64.5 rushing yards per game, while the Browns' defense is ranked 17th, allowing an average of 113 yards per game. FPI prediction: CAR, 57.9% (by an average of 2.8 points), Matchup must-reads: Fournette flourishes in Christian McCaffrey-type workload Amid defensive changes, Kuechly remains the Panthers' stopper Jaguars looking to cash in on Minshew mania Khan: No plan to trade CB Jalen Ramsey, 1 p.m. See Week 5 rankings. The Saints, meanwhile, have committed an NFL-high 11 turnovers -- including five interceptions in three games from Jameis Winston -- so the opportunity will be there. Los Angeles Chargers at New Orleans Saints. Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs picks, predictions NFL Week 5 Big Ben's 3-1 home-away touchdown ratio since 2015 looms large here, especially with Bell looking like his 2016 self and Jacksonville entering the week allowing 5.7 yards per carry, the league's worst by a large margin. Depth charts for every team And for fantasy managers looking to make all the right moves, Graziano and Fowler name must-start sleepers and point out potential fantasy flops of the week. 2023 NFL mock draft: Matt Miller's seven-round predictions, picks - ESPN The answer is to be determined. How have point spreads moved for Week 5 as Sunday approaches? Betting nugget: Philadelphia is 10-0 all time against New York and 9-1 ATS. They've gone 21 straight possessions without a score, and that number will reach the high 20s. This should be a prime spot for them to get on track, even with the uncertainty surrounding receiver Stefon Diggs. Rodgers hasn't topped 255 yards passing this season, and the Giants have the eighth-ranked pass defense. We answered the biggest post-draft question for all 32, LB Barrett's 2-year-old daughter drowns in pool, Deion 'ashamed' after only 1 HBCU player drafted, Sources: NFL eyes May 11 to release schedule, Teams set NFL record with 43 trades during draft, Jets coach Saleh: Rodgers making 'presence felt', Cowboys scout emotional as team drafts his son, Rams use 'Mr. Week 5 NFL game picks: Chiefs top Bills; Cardinals stay perfect with He will find a way to connect with a receiver group that will be missing first-round pick Treylon Burks. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN What to know for fantasy: Pittsburgh's Diontae Johnson owns a 20.5% target share this season from Rudolph, up from his 9.7% rate with Ben Roethlisberger under center. 2023 NFL mock draft: Todd McShay's final first-round predictions - ESPN They're now +1.5. Given the Colts' struggles protecting the quarterback (they've allowed 14 sacks, tied for fifth most in the league) and the Niners' ability to take advantage of porous offensive lines (nine sacks total against Seattle and Arizona), this would seem to be the type of game the 49ers can win. Chicago head coach Matt Nagy is high on veteran backup quarterback Chase Daniel, who's starting in place of Mitchell Trubisky (left shoulder), but Nagy still wants to control the clock and pound the ball with Montgomery. Our experts share their favorite upset picks for Week 5, including an unsuspecting team who is 3-1 to start the year. But Browns RB Nick Chubb leads the NFL in rushing first downs and rushes of 10-plus yards. In that case, at home, Stafford has the edge. They're tied for fourth with 25 explosive pass plays (16-plus yards), and Miami's banged-up secondary is giving up huge chunks in the passing game (31st in yards). See Week 5 rankings. He has also been sacked 11 times, tied for the eighth most in the NFL. Matchup rating: 40.4 | Spread: CAR -3.5 (41), What to watch for: Both teams will be relying on top running backs from the 2017 draft to take the pressure off young quarterbacks. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe hands out helpful fantasy football intel, as well. See Week 5 rankings. Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; Scoring is up across the NFL. ET | CBS The answer is to be determined, Cruz expects Minshew will lead Jags over Allen's Panthers (1:17), Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and more, Which NFL teams still have roster holes? The Graham mistake 2.0: TE a rare miss for Packers GM With Elliott next, Packers have to get run defense on track in a hurry Leighton Vander Esch's star rising as fast off field as on it For Randall Cobb, Packers game just another week, 8:20 p.m. Washington opened the. Since Alex Smith got injured in Week 11 of last season, it has had an NFL-high five starting QBs. -- Tim McManus. Stat to know: Jacoby Brissett is fifth in both QBR (75) and completion percentage (74%) in home games this season. -- Brady Henderson. Elliott is coming off the third-fewest rushing yards of his career, yet the Packers are allowing 142.3 yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry. Since the start of last season, 13 of the Bills' 20 games have gone under. The Chiefs' offense is a complete running and passing groove with Patrick Mahomes. That was a reminder that their defense remains one of the NFL's best. While the Chargers' running game has struggled, Herbert will always be a threat in the passing game. Expect the Raiders' overachieving defense to make a play or two -- paging Khalil Mack and his four sacks -- to jump-start the offense, and all will be right in Silver and Blackdom for a week, at least. "That's why he's one of the best [defensive] ends/outside 'backers ever." What to know for fantasy: Since Week 15 of the 2017 season, just once has a player rushed for 90 yards against the Steelers in Pittsburgh. NFL Picks: Week 5 Predictions, Odds, Schedule for Every Game (2022) -- Jeff Dickerson, Biggest post-draft questions FPI prediction: JAX, 71.8% (by an average of 6.6 points), Matchup must-reads: Texans release starting TE Pharaoh Brown After loss, the Jaguars look to rebound against AFC South How LSU and the SEC prepared Texans rookie Derek Stingley Jr. for the NFL Former Jaguars QB Blake Bortles says he 'quietly' retired, What to watch for: Things have not being going well for Baker Mayfield. Stat to know: Texans edge rusher Whitney Mercilus now has four straight games with a sack, tied for the longest active streak in the NFL with Clay Matthews and Shaquil Barrett. Read more. Christian McCaffrey, the eighth pick, leads the NFL in rushing with 411 yards, and Jacksonville's Leonard Fournette, the fourth pick, isn't far behind with 404. They haven't lost three straight road games since 2018. Irrelevant' pick on Toledo's Johnson, Chargers go all-in on TCU with Duggan pick in 7th, 10 fantasy football breakout players for 2023, Will Levis opens up about emotional draft day, Steelers' first draft under Omar Khan was 'aggressive' and achieved high marks, After hoopla of going No. Which QB will Colts take in Round 1? -- Jake Trotter. Gutierrez's pick: Bears 20, Raiders 16 NFL Nation reporters give their picks for Week 5, including whether the Cowboys can bounce back against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Super Bowl champs ready for the draft Jets' high-priced, underperforming offensive line receives wake-up call, Eagles RBs coach Duce Staley: 'A lot of Jordan and a lot of Miles', Fournette flourishes in Christian McCaffrey-type workload, Amid defensive changes, Kuechly remains the Panthers' stopper, Jaguars looking to cash in on Minshew mania, Cardinals WR Kirk likely out Sunday but ankle better, Bengals put WR Ross on IR with shoulder injury, Broncos' 'world of suck' won't be easily fixed, How Chargers kept team from splintering during Gordon holdout, Chubb's injury further exposes Broncos' house of cards, Elliott took poor game personally, aims to rebound vs. Packers, The Graham mistake 2.0: TE a rare miss for Packers GM, With Elliott next, Packers have to get run defense on track in a hurry, Leighton Vander Esch's star rising as fast off field as on it, For Randall Cobb, Packers game just another week, Mahomes, Favre and other NFL stars reveal the larger-than-life tales behind Andy Reid, Colts GM Chris Ballard has needed his no-flinch, no-panic approach, Chiefs RB Williams has waited behind big-name backs before, Ebron 'disgusted' by drops, takes blame for Colts' loss, Chubb's running finally launches Browns' offense, How good are first-place 49ers? The Cowboys will want to prove last week was more of a fluke than a trend. Jets' high-priced, underperforming offensive line receives wake-up call Eagles RBs coach Duce Staley: 'A lot of Jordan and a lot of Miles', 1 p.m. 1, Panthers' Bryce Young is all 'business now', Top picks Christian Gonzalez, Keion White reflect Patriots' ideal identity, Big takeaways from the NFL draft: A historic QB class, the rebuilt AFC South and new GMs thriving, NFL Nation sizes up all 259 draft selections, XFL semifinals: Defenders roll Sea Dragons, set up title showdown with Renegades. ET | Fox Published: Oct 07, 2021 at 12:32 PM. As Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale said of the Packers QB, 'It's like owning a python and saying, 'Don't worry about it, he won't bite.'" Stat to know: Trevor Lawrence struggles under pressure, having the largest drop-off of any QB in QBR (-76) compared to when he's not pressured. 2023 NFL Draft live tracker: 4th through 7th round picks, analysis Read more. The Bills aren't known for a traditional ground game, but the Steelers' defense is giving up an average of 131.5 rushing yards per game. He had just 14 receptions for 174 yards and zero TDs in 11 games last season. What to know for fantasy: Henry didn't catch a single pass in the first two weeks but has eight (for 91 yards) over the past two weeks. -- Mike Reiss. Betting nugget: Both Allen and Gardner Minshew II are 3-0 ATS in their careers as starters. The Giants have had trouble stopping the run, and it could be a problem again this week with Olivier Vernon and Jason Pierre-Paul struggling with injuries. NFL Week 5 schedule and game-by-game predictions See Week 5 rankings. If that's the case, the Cardinals could pull off the upset. I tweaked my predictions from Sunday to reflect . -- Eric Woodyard. Betting nugget: Mahomes is 7-1 outright and 6-2 ATS against Las Vegas. Let's get into the full Week 5 slate, including another London showdown (Giants-Packers), Kenny Pickett's first start, Jalen Hurts vs. Kyler Murray and an AFC North meeting between the Bengals and Ravens. See Week 5 rankings. Read more. Betting nugget: Smith is 23-15 ATS in his career, including 10-2 ATS in his past 12 starts and 5-2 ATS with Seattle. The team that gets the running game going will have a decisive advantage. Rams 23, Seahawks 20 -- Alden Gonzalez, The Ravens catch a break with EJ Manuel starting at quarterback for the injured Derek Carr. ET | Fox Everything you need to know for the draft FPI prediction: CAR, 56.2% (by an average of 1.8 points), Matchup must-reads: Jimmie Ward year away from being among rarefied 49ers company Mayfield struggles, but Panthers don't have another option Nick Bosa says 49ers' defense has personnel to be 'best in the league' Mayfield takes blame for offense's struggles amid 1-3 start Darnold's return from IR not close, coach Matt Rhule says, 4:25 p.m. ET | Fox And the Washington passing attack? Also note that the Redskins enter the game ranked 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (147.5). We answered the biggest post-draft question for all 32, LB Barrett's 2-year-old daughter drowns in pool, Deion 'ashamed' after only 1 HBCU player drafted, Sources: NFL eyes May 11 to release schedule, Teams set NFL record with 43 trades during draft, Jets coach Saleh: Rodgers making 'presence felt', Cowboys scout emotional as team drafts his son, Rams use 'Mr. Thus, breaking the streak won't be easy for the Ravens. See Week 5 rankings. Tyrod Taylor has excelled in passing to Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy this season, but the Bengals boast the NFL's lowest yards per catch (6.49) by opposing tight ends and running backs. What to know for fantasy: Curtis Samuel's target share is nearly twice that of DJ Moore (24.1% to 12.1%) with Kyle Allen under center for the Panthers this season. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN The team has preached all week that their offense won't change much with the backup quarterback starting, and he'll prove them right come Sunday. 2022 NFL Expert Picks | ESPN Week 5 NFL game picks, schedule guide, fantasy football tips and - ESPN
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