Finally, let's look at the percentage of situations each quarterback was in. On the 37 deep attempts after he got in the lineup, he didnt have a single turnover-worthy play or interception, even if his numbers became a little inflated by work done after the catch by the likes of A.J. Winston, Prescott & Brissett ranked 6, 7, & 7 spots better with John (and 8.6, 12.3, 14.2% better, or 3.7, 7.4, & 9.3% if you subtract the 4.9% average increase). Birth City: Austin. The Real Reason Presidential Candidates Form Exploratory Committees, Oct. 29, 2020, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Monday, May 1, 2:31PM. but Brissett's ranking is very difficult to accept, especially considering: According to ESPN, he completed 10 of 35 attempts over 20 yards in 2017. That is 21.4 yards/attemp. Lock completed only three of those 11 pass attempts for 96 yards and a score, but he also had one picked off. You dont think ~90 gifs are enough for you to evaluate his opinion on whats an accurate vs inaccurate throw? Overview; News; Stats; Bio; . But Smith was mediocre in 2014 and thats more often been the case for the QBs who rank highly on both lists above. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints 48.4% completion percentage, 13.0 yards per attempt, 107.2 Passer Rating Few players throw a better deep ball than Drew Brees when he's at his best, but as he ages, his effectiveness and frequency of deep passing has declined. This year, that figure is down even further, sitting at just 4.9 yardsa yard and a half per throw lower than his league-worst number from last year. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Do they have predictive value? Henderson, who was already in New Orleans when Brees arrived, was the first. Darnold is now entering his third season of football with as many questions surrounding his prospects as there were when he was drafted. A concern for Watson is that he had the highest rate of off-balance throws (and the second-highest total of off-balance throws to Derek Carr). Interpreted as: deep ball completion percent with a minimum of 1500 passing attempts leaders. Now Hell Face LeBron and the Lakers. Again, you can find an even larger amount of information on the actual Deep Ball Project at this link. Ryan Fitzpatrick might be the only quarterback in the league who can rival Jameis Winston for Y.O.L.O. The crazy thing is that Julio Jones had 12 of those 18 accurate incompletions. A highlight reel of only his best deep passes would be as good as that from any quarterback in the league, but he missed on more than he should have given his ability to make those passes. He forced the second-most inaccurate completions with 12, and Marvin Jones caught seven of those passes. 2 is Dak Prescott. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Back to school: Brees to assist Purdue bowl prep, Brees open to booth return, likes ManningCast, Aaron Judge, LeBron James, Randy Moss and other huge contract years, Saints HC Allen: Brees tweet likely 'made in jest', Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. John Kinsley is on Twitter @brickwallblitz. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. The reason his efficiency score doesn't rank higher is because he forced a giant amount of dropped picks for his sample size. By QBR, Brees is doing better this year than in 2019 another very short-passing season by historical standards despite throwing deep even less (and despite not having Thomas, who set the all-time NFL record for receptions in a season last year). Are these numbers consistent from year to year? The real question, however, will be if Brees can keep it up over the rest of the season. Let us assume for a second that Brisset actually had 39 completions and not 22. Also if you know that your receiver is very good at catching contested balls (Gronk or Megatron) throwing a long jump ball can be a very smart play. TD. Last year, that fell to 8.2 percent, the lowest mark of his career and second-lowest among starting quarterbacks. All rights reserved. His completion rate was good, but six turnover-worthy plays hurt him overall, with five of those plays resulting in an interception. Keenum was #1 in DYAR. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Pro Football Focus has tracked quarterbacks deep passes (defined as passes thrown to targets more than 20 yards downfield) since 2006. He also showed impressive touch on passes of 25 to 29 yards and on passes of 35 to 39 yards, ranking in the top five in both ranges. How much does Drew Lock weigh? Drew Brees has a great deep ball, but he is limited. Justin Herbert (66.9%), Interpreted as: Drew Brees deep ball passing accuracy career. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. Alvin Kamara is a destructive receiving threat out of the backfield and can turn short passes into big gains. In his defense, it wasnt all Goff, as the Rams had one of the worst offensive lines in football, and Goff often just didnt have the time to let deep plays develop. He was the best downfield passer of 2017, as well as the most accurate. Accuracy on off-balance throws doesn't mean too much considering the small sample size, but DeShone Kizer and Cam Newton (who had a great year passing the deep ball despite his health) ranked at the top. Even McLaurin was responsible for dropping one of Haskins best passes, which would have moved the needle on his numbers given his low sample size, but the PFF grade accounts for that, and the grade was also bad. Everybody wants explosive plays in the NFL. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. Brees has proven throughout his career, and in the 2011 regular season, that he is one of the best quarterbacks in the league when it comes . Drew Brees Game by Game Stats and Performance | ESPN After all the passes are tallied up, the final number of points is divided by the amount of downfield passes. *Ranking among Week 8 starters, according to our QB Elo ratings. PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Completion percentage is a highly valued stat in football, and while that's included in the Deep Ball Project, a greater emphasis is played on accuracy percentage. There is an entire five-minute video of Breess 70-yard touchdown passes, many of which are bombs thrown over the top. The Saints QB may be the greatest statistical passer of all time, but at this point in his career, his deep passes leave something (OK, a lot) to be desired. Jimmy Garoppolo has an excellent grade on these plays, but he attempted just 31 deep shots all season the fewest among full-time starting quarterbacks. If Tyrod wants to keep that job longer than people expect, he needs to up his efficiency on those deep targets. There is a wider variety of scenarios that play into accurate passes aside from the typical uncontested drop. Drew Brees had 80,358 passing yards over his career. 3fg%. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Todd McShay breaks down the Eagles' draft that netted them Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith among others. Every offseason, I independently chart quarterbacks on what I like to call the Deep Ball Project. The "points" system here seems completely arbitrary. Kyler a Trade Chip? It would be great if the author would reveal which specific throws by quarterbacks were graded as accurate incompletions, or inaccurate completions. His adjusted yards for 22 completions is (674 + 4*20 - 1*45) = 709 yards. It seems like those three were more productive than Brisset even when Brisset was compensated for external factors. Just four years later, the overlooked quarterback led the New . Steph Curry Snuffed Out the Beam. Luck, in 2016 and throwing to many of the same receivers (Hilton, Moncrief, Doyle), completed 26 of 55 attempts over 20 yards. Failed to recognize receivers running wide open down the seam.". Ryan Tannehills arrival last season changed the teams fortunes and transformed the Titans offense. Jacoby Brissett has never been an aggressive quarterback, but lack of aggression combined with inefficiency when you actually take the shot is a first-class ticket to a backup role. but caught four 50-yard touchdowns from Brees. BackCAST 2023: Is Zach Charbonnet Overrated? The Saints likely need it if they are to win that elusive second championship. ", http://presnapreads.com/2018/03/25/quarterback-tiers-and-rankings-based-exclusively-on-the-2017-season/. I'm not sure I disagree with your overall feeling - but the problem with your argument is its all based on completion percentage. Saints' Michael Thomas seemingly trolled Drew Brees on Twitter during Kyler Murray is tied with Brees at 51 percent. Elos spread: Baltimore -3. The big shock comes from the different situations faced by Texans quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Tom Savage. Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREEYour All-Access Ticket to the Pro Football Reference Database. Drew Lock played 24 games over his career. He led the NFL in completion percentage, had a 27-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio, and helped earn the Saints a 13-3 record (8-3 in Breess starts) and the top seed in the NFC. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Starter is currently injured and may not play. Others have mentioned Cian Fahey's QB charting project & when I can compare 2 sources of film-charted stats, it usually fills me with a lot of questions. In short, he was a lot of fun to watch and chart, as his accuracy across the boards was phenomenal. Theres not much to like about Haskins numbers from his rookie season except the mitigating circumstances that he was really without many viable passing targets, with only really rookie Terry McLaurin showing up reliably. The Broncos on Monday picked up wide receiver Jerry Jeudy's fifth-year rookie option. You'd think those would more closely line up if every play was looked at. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Nobody had more interceptions (nine) or turnover-worthy plays (12) on deep targets in 2019 than Rivers did. He led the league in completion rate on these passes by over 10 percentage points and in adjusted completion rate by 20 percentage points. Because some of the accuracy percentages achieved by the subjective grading system are radically different from the percentages based on straightforward completions/attempts. It doesn't smell right, it doesn't match his profile, it's not reflected in his performance, and it's not corroborated by the fans. With no Roethlisberger for almost all of last season, we have pulled up his 2018 statistics to include him on the list. That year, Brees led the league in passing yards and touchdowns on deep throws, going 32 for 58 with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Projections. DeSean Jackson being missing especially crippled Wentzs ability to win deep down the field regularly, and though his passing itself was solid, the production the offense had on these attempts was lackluster at best. The league has known that for as far back as anybody can remember, and in todays game, the most reliable way of producing them is by throwing the ball deep. All rights reserved. The only other comprehensive accuracy charting I know of is Cian Faheys Pre-Snap Reads books (if you know of more, I love this stuff so let me know). In addition to the efficiency score, are the situational splits (play action, open window, tight window, etc.) Kizer also had 18 accurate incompletions, and also had a high efficiency score because he took care of the ball much better than expected. Arguably the best quarterback in football right now, Patrick Mahomes was a devastating deep passer in 2019 despite battling through a series of injuries throughout the year. Thanks to PFF Premium Stats 2.0 which is available with a PFF ELITE subscription we can see how quarterbacks perform in this critical area each season, but lets go a step deeper and rank those quarterbacks by PFF grade on deep passes, rather than by any production-based deep passing metric that is heavily influenced by the receiver at the catch point and the coverage the ball was thrown into. And no QB in the entire sample had a season in which he threw a smaller share of passes 20 or more yards downfield than Breess 3.3 percent rate so far in 2020. Ryan, of course, has some elite playmakers to throw the ball to downfield, so we should expect him to feature high on this list because of the favorable looks he will regularly see. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. The average accuracy rate for this year's Deep Ball Project was 48.1 percent, while the average efficiency score was 0.99. Drew Brees Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Draft, College | Pro-Football-Reference.com Drew Brees Drew Christopher Brees Position: QB Throws: Right 6-0 , 209lb (183cm, 94kg) Born: January 15 in Austin, TX (Age: 44-060d) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 13x Pro Bowl 1x All-Pro 1x SB Champ SB XLIV MVP 2004 AP Comeback Player 2x AP Off. On 84 attempts. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Every throw that reaches at least 16 yards in the air is constituted as a downfield pass. Birth Year: 1979. Kizer had six red zone interceptions, twice as many as any other quarterback, even though he had only 43 red zone attempts, 28th in the league. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. Tannehill still wasnt the best deep passer in the world, but what made a difference was that he didnt make mistakes on those attempts. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. But in the past, Brees did have the most air yards. Taylor throws a pretty deep pass, and he used to drop dimes with regularity early in his career. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Stroud, Mike Tanier's Final Three-Round Mock Draft, Things to Do While Waiting for Aaron Rodgers. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. YDS. The success levels for other short-tossing quarterbacks have varied. than any other quarterback last year, and they came at the cost of just one turnover-worthy play. The reason he ranked so high was his success on those 40-plus-yard plays, as well as the fact that he took really good care of the ball, limiting interceptions and dangerous throws. The person most acutely aware of this decline seems to be Brees. Murrays deep pass was one of his strengths in college, and he showed that it should still be a notable strength in the NFL, especially if his receivers can win more consistently on the outside and give him more reliable places to go with the football. Best Known For: NFL quarterback Drew Brees . Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse Drew Brees Authentic voice 6'0", 209 lbs Saints QB PCT 67.7 YDS 80,358 TD 571 RATE 98.7 Career Overview Stats Game Log Splits Bio Explore Drew Brees rookie season stats When was Drew Brees drafted? Had several overthrows when tasked with deep throws down sideline versus man coverage.
